Plume Dispersion Models


Lecture 16

October 28, 2024

Prelim 1 Review

Prelim 1 Statistics

  • Median: 94%
  • Mean: 91%
  • Standard Dev: 9%

Review and Questions

Economic Dispatch

  • Second power systems LP
  • Incorporating ramping and minimum power constraints can lead to a deviation from simple “merit order” dispatch.

Questions

Poll Everywhere QR Code

Text: VSRIKRISH to 22333

URL: https://pollev.com/vsrikrish

See Results

Plume Dispersion

Criteria Air Pollutants

  • Pollutants which have an ambient air quality standard.
  • Most common examples:
    • PM2.5, PM10
    • O3
    • CO
    • SO2
    • NO2

Impact of the Clean Air Act

Decoupling of GDP and Air Pollution

Some Approaches For Modeling Air Pollution

Last Class: Box (or “airshed”) model of air pollution

  • Looks at overall mass-balance.
  • Total inputs/outputs in a particular boundary.

Today: Point sources and receptors (plume/puff models)

Point Sources/Receptors

Point Source/Receptor Schematic

Emissions Follow Instantaneous Paths

Point Source Flow Traces

Plume: Time-Averaged Positions

Point Source Average Plume

“Gaussian Plume”

Gaussian Plume

“Gaussian Plume”

Gaussian Plume Distribution

Gaussian Plume Model

\[\begin{equation} C(x,y,z) = \frac{Q}{2\pi u \sigma_y \sigma_z} \exp\left[-\frac{1}{2} \left(\frac{y^2}{\sigma_y^2} + \frac{(z - H)^2}{\sigma_z^2}\right)\right] \end{equation}\]

Variable Meaning
\(C\) Concentration (g/m\(^3\))
\(Q\) Emissions Rate (g/s)
\(H\) Effective Source Height (m)
\(u\) Wind Speed (m/s)

Gaussian Plume Derivation

Use the advective-diffusion equation to describe the mass-balance of a small air parcel :

\[ \frac{\partial C}{\partial t} + \color{blue}\overbrace{[D + K] \nabla^2 C}^\text{diffusion} \color{black} - \color{red}\overbrace{\overrightarrow{u} \cdot \overrightarrow{\nabla} C}^\text{advection} = 0\]

  • \(D\) is the diffusion coefficient
  • \(K\) is the dispersion coefficient (turbulent mixing)

Diffusive Flux

Diffusive Flux

Concentration gradient + Diffusion ⇒ Flux

Fick’s law: mass transfer by diffusion

\[F_x = D \frac{dC}{dx}\]

Turbulent Flux

Turbulent Flux

Concentration gradient + Turbulent mixing ⇒ Flux

\[F_x = K_{xx}\frac{dC}{dx}\]

The dispersion coefficient \(K_{xx}\) depends on flow/eddy characteristics.

Gaussian Plume Model Derivation

\[\frac{\partial C}{\partial t} + \vec{u} \cdot \vec{\nabla} C - [D + K] \nabla^2 C = 0\]

Assumptions:

  • Steady-state:

\[ \frac{\partial C}{\partial t} = 0\]

Gaussian Plume Model Derivation

\[\frac{\partial C}{\partial t} + \vec{u} \cdot \vec{\nabla} C - [D + K] \nabla^2 C = 0\]

Assumptions:

  • Wind only in \(x\)-direction:

\[\vec{u} \cdot \vec{\nabla} C = u_x \frac{\partial C}{\partial x} + \cancel{u_y \frac{\partial C}{\partial y}} + \cancel{u_z \frac{\partial C}{\partial z}}\]

Gaussian Plume Model Derivation

\[\frac{\partial C}{\partial t} + \vec{u} \cdot \vec{\nabla} C - [D + K] \nabla^2 C = 0\]

Assumptions:

  • Turbulence \(\gg\) diffusion, e.g. \(K \gg D\), and \(K\) is unimportant along \(x\)-direction:

\[-[\cancel{D} + K] \nabla^2 C = \cancel{K_{xx}} \frac{\partial^2 C}{\partial x^2} + K_{yy} \frac{\partial^2 C}{\partial y^2} + K_{zz} \frac{\partial^2 C}{\partial z^2}\]

Gaussian Plume Model Derivation

With these assumptions, the equation simplifies to:

\[u \frac{\partial C}{\partial x} = K_{yy} \frac{\partial^2 C}{\partial y^2} + K_{zz}\frac{\partial^2 C}{\partial z^2}\]

Assume mass flow through vertical plane downwind must equal emissions rate \(Q\):

\[Q = \iint u C dy dz\]

Boundary Condition for A-D Equation

Gaussian Plume Model Derivation

Solving this PDE:

\[C(x,y,z) = \frac{Q}{4\pi x \sqrt{K_{yy} + K_{zz}}} \exp\left[-\frac{u}{4x}\left(\frac{y^2}{K_{yy}} + \frac{(z-H)^2}{K_{zz}}\right)\right]\]

Now substitute

\[\begin{aligned} \sigma_y^2 &= 2 K_{yy} t = 2 K_{yy} \frac{x}{u} \\ \sigma_z^2 &= 2 K_{zz} \frac{x}{u} \end{aligned}\]

Gaussian Plume Model Derivation

This results in:

\[ C(x,y,z) = \frac{Q}{2\pi u \sigma_y \sigma_z} \exp\left[-\frac{1}{2}\left(\frac{y^2}{\sigma_y^2} + \frac{(z-H)^2}{\sigma_z^2}\right) \right]\]

which looks like a Gaussian distribution probability distribution if we restrict to \(y\) or \(z\).

Gaussian Plume Model with Reflection

Reflected Mass Off Ground

Gaussian Plume Model with Reflection

We can account for this extra term using a flipped “image” of the source.

Reflected Mass Off Ground

Final Model: Elevated Source with Reflection

\[\begin{aligned} C(x,y,z) = &\frac{Q}{2\pi u \sigma_y \sigma_z} \exp\left(\frac{-y^2}{2\sigma_y^2} \right) \times \\\\ & \quad \left[\exp\left(\frac{-(z-H)^2}{2\sigma_z^2}\right) + \exp\left(\frac{-(z+H)^2}{2\sigma_z^2}\right) \right] \end{aligned}\]

Final Model Assumptions

Assumptions:

  1. Steady-State
  2. Constant wind velocity and direction
  3. Wind >> dispersion in \(x\)-direction
  4. No reactions
  5. Smooth ground (avoids turbulent eddies and other reflections)

Dispersion and Atmospheric Stability

Estimating Dispersion “Spread”

Values of \(\sigma_y\) and \(\sigma_z\) matter substantially for modeling plume spread downwind. What influences them?

Estimating Dispersion “Spread”

Main contribution: atmospheric stability

  • Greater stability ⇒ less vertical/cross-wind dispersion.

  • Pasquill (1961): Six stability classes.

Estimating Dispersion “Spread”

Contributors to atmospheric stability:

  • Temperature gradient
  • Wind speed
  • Solar radiation
  • Cloud cover
  • Richardson number (buoyancy / flow shear)

Atmospheric Stability Classes

Class Stability Description
A Extremely unstable Sunny summer day
B Moderately unstable Sunny & warm
C Slightly unstable Partly cloudy day
D Neutral Cloudy day or night
E Slightly stable Partly cloudy night
F Moderately stable Clear night

Estimating Dispersion “Spread”

\[\begin{aligned} \sigma_y &= ax^{0.894} \\ \sigma_z &= cx^d + f \end{aligned}\]

Dispersion Coefficients

Note: here \(x\) is in km, while in the plume equation \(y\), \(z\) are in m!

Estimating Dispersion “Spread”

Then take estimates for \(\sigma_y\) and \(\sigma_z\) and plug into plume dispersion equation

\[\begin{aligned} C(x,y,z) = &\frac{Q}{2\pi u {\color{red}\sigma_y \sigma_z}} \exp\left(\frac{-y^2}{2{\color{red}\sigma_y^2}} \right) \times \\\\ & \quad \left[\exp\left(\frac{-(z-H)^2}{2{\color{red}\sigma_z^2}}\right) + \exp\left(\frac{-(z+H)^2}{2{\color{red}\sigma_z^2}}\right) \right] \end{aligned}\]

Gaussian Plume Example

Example

The emission rate of SO2 from a smokestack is 100 g/s. At 3km downwind on a clear fall evening (class F), what is the centerline ground-level concentration of SO2? The effective plume height is 41m and the wind speed at this height is 2.5 m/s. Under these conditions,

\[ \sigma_y = 34x^{0.894} \]

\[ \sigma_z = \begin{cases}14.35x^{0.740} - 0.35 & x < 1 \text{km} \\ 62.6x^{0.180} - 48.6 & x > 1 \text{km} \end{cases} \]

Worked Example

  • Centerline, ground level concentration: \(y, z=0\)
  • 3km downwind:
    • \(\sigma_y \approx 91 \text{m}\)
    • \(\sigma_z \approx 28 \text{m}\)

Key Takeaways

Key Takeaways

  • Plume models are commonly used for point sources and point receptors.
  • Gaussian plumes: continuous emissions from an elevated source.
  • F&T determined by advection and diffusion/turbulence.
  • However, number of critical assumptions.

Upcoming Schedule

Next Classes

Wednesday: Managing multiple point sources of air pollution

Next Week: Mixed-Integer Linear Programming and Applications